Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 3.160056e-05 3.754002e-05 0.000044 0.000051 0.000060 0.000069 0.000079
2025-04-06 2.253422e-05 2.996457e-05 0.000039 0.000049 0.000062 0.000076 0.000094
2025-04-13 1.576833e-05 2.344145e-05 0.000033 0.000046 0.000061 0.000080 0.000104
2025-04-20 1.176684e-05 1.944780e-05 0.000030 0.000044 0.000062 0.000085 0.000115
2025-04-27 9.237457e-06 1.687551e-05 0.000028 0.000043 0.000065 0.000092 0.000128
2025-05-04 7.618356e-06 1.527064e-05 0.000027 0.000044 0.000068 0.000100 0.000144
2025-05-11 6.920439e-06 1.494383e-05 0.000028 0.000047 0.000075 0.000113 0.000164
2025-05-18 5.934065e-06 1.393729e-05 0.000027 0.000048 0.000079 0.000122 0.000181
2025-05-25 4.323819e-06 1.147182e-05 0.000024 0.000045 0.000077 0.000122 0.000186
2025-06-01 3.255967e-06 9.752447e-06 0.000022 0.000043 0.000077 0.000124 0.000194
2025-06-08 2.619186e-06 8.750454e-06 0.000021 0.000043 0.000079 0.000130 0.000206
2025-06-15 2.071133e-06 7.787893e-06 0.000020 0.000042 0.000080 0.000134 0.000216
2025-06-22 1.430251e-06 6.502576e-06 0.000018 0.000041 0.000081 0.000140 0.000231
2025-06-29 8.997584e-07 5.208407e-06 0.000016 0.000040 0.000081 0.000144 0.000243
2025-07-06 4.760037e-07 3.863419e-06 0.000014 0.000036 0.000078 0.000144 0.000249
2025-07-13 2.661437e-07 3.061526e-06 0.000012 0.000035 0.000078 0.000148 0.000261
2025-07-20 1.559889e-07 2.557996e-06 0.000012 0.000035 0.000080 0.000155 0.000278
2025-07-27 9.801124e-08 2.257412e-06 0.000011 0.000035 0.000083 0.000165 0.000299
2025-08-03 7.999283e-08 2.247935e-06 0.000012 0.000038 0.000091 0.000181 0.000330
2025-08-10 5.105422e-08 2.046906e-06 0.000012 0.000039 0.000095 0.000192 0.000355
2025-08-17 1.491161e-08 1.491403e-06 0.000010 0.000036 0.000092 0.000192 0.000361
2025-08-24 3.376781e-09 1.133545e-06 0.000009 0.000034 0.000092 0.000194 0.000371
2025-08-31 6.588574e-10 9.397528e-07 0.000008 0.000034 0.000093 0.000201 0.000389